M METACULUS / NEWS CORRELATOR
SNAPSHOT LIVE · INGESTION PAUSED

FORECAST MOVEMENT × NEWS SIGNAL

When the
market moves,
look around.

A lightweight monitor for tracking active Metaculus questions, detecting meaningful forecast changes, and correlating them with nearby news. The surface is live; the snapshot is deliberately dated.

01 / SYSTEMSUCCESS

Resource-safe, batch-aware monitoring.

Babashka-native runners track the most active questions, detect changes above a 3% threshold, and hand significant movement to the news correlator.

02 / COVERAGESNAPSHOT
04 questions found

Top active questions from the last recorded cycle.

03 / FRESHNESSATTENTION

Do not confuse a reachable page with fresh data.

This deployment repairs the orphan host and preserves the truth about its underlying age.

04 / PIPELINETHRESHOLD
3% change required

Forecast movement threshold before news correlation.

05 / HANDOFFPROVENANCE

From orphan hostname to honest instrument.

Source: /home/uprootiny/metaculus-news-correlator
Data: /home/uprootiny/level2marketdata
Commit: 9eca701 · deployment surface generated in the Codex session.

WHAT THE SYSTEM DOESSTATELAST EVIDENCENEXT
Scrape active Metaculus questionsavailable02 OCT 2025re-enable
Detect significant forecast movementavailable02 OCT 2025observe
Correlate movement with newsavailable02 OCT 2025observe
Continuous 30-minute monitorpausednot currentdecide